Aprio’s 2026 Economic Outlook

Our wealth advisors, risk managers, tax professionals, and financial planners have compiled the latest economic insights, forecasts, and opportunities so you can take full advantage in 2026—and beyond. Download the Report

2026: The Year of the Gas Pedal
(and the Speed Limit)

Executive Summary

As 2026 begins, the Twin Engines of Growth—liquidity and productivity—are propelling the U.S. economy forward, while the bond market sets the pace by shaping inflation expectations and long‑term rates.

This is a year to seize early opportunities: focus on effective pricing for both high-income and low-income households, refinance balance sheets, and invest in technology-driven efficiency and cash‑producing AI infrastructure. Expect liquidity to increase in the first half, but remember, the “sugar high” will fade if inflation remains sticky or fiscal credibility falters. This year will likely bring broad economic growth early on, followed by a reality check later, so it’s important to structure your business and investment strategies to thrive whether growth accelerates or slows.